RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RC Celta de Vigo to win51%
1X2: model backs RC Celta de Vigo at 51%.
- RC Celta de Vigo
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RC Celta de Vigo or draw75%
- Draw or Deportivo Alaves49%
- RC Celta de Vigo or Deportivo Alaves76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- RC Celta de Vigo, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Celta de Vigo, rating it at 50.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RC Celta de Vigo won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
RC Celta de Vigo: DWLDD
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–4 |
| 2025-11-22 | Deportivo Alaves vs RC Celta de Vigo | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-27 | Deportivo Alaves vs RC Celta de Vigo | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-16 | RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Alaves vs Celta Vigo | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-28 | Celta Vigo vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-07 | Celta Vigo vs Alaves | 4–0 |
| 2021-11-27 | Alaves vs Celta Vigo | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-04 | Alaves vs Celta Vigo | 1–3 |
| 2020-12-20 | Celta Vigo vs Alaves | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Celta de Vigo (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.