RC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de VigovsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

RC Celta de Vigo to win51%

1X2: model backs RC Celta de Vigo at 51%.

Tofiko51% / 24% / 25%
Market45% / 29% / 26%
  • RC Celta de Vigo
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • RC Celta de Vigo or draw75%
  • Draw or Deportivo Alaves49%
  • RC Celta de Vigo or Deportivo Alaves76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • RC Celta de Vigo, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick RC Celta de Vigo, rating it at 50.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and RC Celta de Vigo won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

RC Celta de Vigo: DWLDD

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-22RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves3–4
2025-11-22Deportivo Alaves vs RC Celta de Vigo0–1
2025-01-27Deportivo Alaves vs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
2024-08-16RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves2–1
2024-04-27Alaves vs Celta Vigo3–0
2023-09-28Celta Vigo vs Alaves1–1
2022-05-07Celta Vigo vs Alaves4–0
2021-11-27Alaves vs Celta Vigo1–2
2021-04-04Alaves vs Celta Vigo1–3
2020-12-20Celta Vigo vs Alaves2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours RC Celta de Vigo (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
What is the RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlaves vs Celta Vigo7 Feb 2027 →