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Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsRCD Mallorca crestRCD Mallorca

Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Deportivo Alaves 21 RCD Mallorca

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Deportivo Alaves41%

Deportivo Alaves 41%
Draw 27%
RCD Mallorca 31%
  • Deportivo Alaves 41%
  • Draw 27%
  • RCD Mallorca 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. RCD Mallorca's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW

RCD Mallorca: WWWLL

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 1.63Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca2–1
2025-09-27RCD Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves1–0
2025-03-02RCD Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves1–1
2024-11-01Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca1–0
2024-02-24Alaves vs Mallorca1–1
2023-12-03Mallorca vs Alaves0–0
2022-04-19Mallorca vs Alaves2–1
2021-08-21Alaves vs Mallorca0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca?
Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.63 goals per game.

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