Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Deportivo Alaves 2–1 RCD Mallorca
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Deportivo Alaves41%
- Deportivo Alaves 41%
- Draw 27%
- RCD Mallorca 31%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RCD Mallorca's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW
RCD Mallorca: WWWLL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-27 | RCD Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | RCD Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Alaves vs Mallorca | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Mallorca vs Alaves | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-19 | Mallorca vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-21 | Alaves vs Mallorca | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca?
- Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs RCD Mallorca head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.63 goals per game.