Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsRacing de Santander crestRacing de Santander

Deportivo Alaves vs Racing de Santander Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Deportivo Alaves40%

Tofiko40% / 31% / 28%
  • Deportivo Alaves
  • Draw
  • Racing de Santander

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Deportivo Alaves or draw72%
  • Draw or Racing de Santander60%
  • Deportivo Alaves or Racing de Santander69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.542%
  • Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Racing de Santander, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 40.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Racing de Santander: DLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 131 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves2–1
2026-08-07Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Racing de Santander?
Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Racing de Santander kick off?
Sun, 21 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Racing de Santander head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legRacing Santander 2-1 Alaves12 Sept 2026 →