Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Racing de Santander 2-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander51%

Tofiko51% / 24% / 25%
Market37% / 27% / 37%
  • Racing de Santander
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 51.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Racing de Santander won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

Racing de Santander: DLLWL

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves2–1
2026-08-07Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureAlaves vs Racing Santander21 Feb 2027 →