Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander48%

  • Racing de Santander 48%
  • Draw 25%
  • Deportivo Alaves 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 47.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Racing de Santander did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Racing de Santander: LWLDD

Deportivo Alaves: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-07Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 12:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Racing de Santander vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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Reverse fixtureAlaves vs Racing Santander21 Feb 2027 →