Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Draw36%

Tofiko33% / 36% / 31%
  • Deportivo Alaves
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 35.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Deportivo Alaves: DLLWW

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 22%Both scored
  • 11%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-20Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves1–1
2026-05-23Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano1–2
2025-10-26Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves1–0
2025-03-29Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano0–2
2024-10-26Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves1–0
2024-03-10Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2023-09-15Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves2–0
2022-04-16Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2021-12-18Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Draw (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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