Deportivo Alavesvs
Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Draw36%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw69%
- Draw or Rayo Vallecano67%
- Deportivo Alaves or Rayo Vallecano64%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.534%
- Under 2.566%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 35.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 187 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 187 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 22%Both scored
- 11%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Draw (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.