Deportivo Alavesvs
Real SociedadDeportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Sociedad36%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- Real Sociedad
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw64%
- Draw or Real Sociedad69%
- Deportivo Alaves or Real Sociedad67%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.538%
- Under 2.562%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Real Sociedad, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Real Sociedad, rating it at 36.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–3 |
| 2025-12-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-28 | Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 0–1 |
| 2024-01-02 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-21 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 4–0 |
| 2020-12-06 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.