Real Sociedadvs
Deportivo AlavesReal Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Sociedad to win53%
1X2: model backs Real Sociedad at 53%.
- Real Sociedad
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Sociedad or draw83%
- Draw or Deportivo Alaves47%
- Real Sociedad or Deportivo Alaves71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 53.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–3 |
| 2025-12-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-28 | Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 0–1 |
| 2024-01-02 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2022-01-02 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-21 | Real Sociedad vs Alaves | 4–0 |
| 2020-12-06 | Alaves vs Real Sociedad | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.