Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsRCD Mallorca crestRCD Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao 2-1 RCD Mallorca — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 04 Oct 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao56%

Tofiko56% / 25% / 19%
Market64% / 23% / 13%
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Draw
  • RCD Mallorca

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 56.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL

RCD Mallorca: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao3–2
2025-10-04Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca2–1
2025-03-09Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca1–1
2024-10-28RCD Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2024-02-02Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca4–0
2023-09-03Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2023-05-01Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2022-08-15Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca0–0
2022-02-14Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao3–2
2021-09-11Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs RCD Mallorca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 5 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legMallorca 3-2 Athletic Club17 Jan 2026 →