Real Oviedovs
Athletic BilbaoReal Oviedo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 15 Feb 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao52%
- Real Oviedo 23%
- Draw 25%
- Athletic Bilbao 52%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 51.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Real Oviedo: WWLDW
Athletic Bilbao: WLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Oviedo | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Oviedo vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.