Athletic Bilbaovs
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao46%
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 249 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 249 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-25 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-21 | Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.