Athletic Bilbaovs
Real Madrid CFAthletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win54%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 54%.
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw46%
- Draw or Real Madrid CF83%
- Athletic Bilbao or Real Madrid CF71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 53.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Real Madrid CF's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 54 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 54 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-20 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2023-06-04 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.