Athletic Bilbaovs
Real Madrid CFAthletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF54%
- Athletic Bilbao 17%
- Draw 29%
- Real Madrid CF 54%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-20 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2023-06-04 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.