Real Madrid CFvs
Athletic BilbaoReal Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 14 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win65%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 65%.
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Madrid CF or draw89%
- Draw or Athletic Bilbao35%
- Real Madrid CF or Athletic Bilbao76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 65.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Real Madrid CF's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 124 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 124 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-20 | Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2023-06-04 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-22 | Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 14 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.