Athletic Bilbaovs
Valencia CFAthletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 14 Mar 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Athletic Bilbao or draw77%
1X2: model backs Athletic Bilbao at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Valencia CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw77%
- Draw or Valencia CF54%
- Athletic Bilbao or Valencia CF69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.541%
- Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Valencia CF, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 46.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Valencia CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 152 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Valencia CF: DLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 152 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.60Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2024-01-20 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 2–2 |
| 2023-02-11 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Valencia CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF kick off?
- Sun, 14 Mar 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.