Athletic Bilbaovs
Villarreal CFAthletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF36%
- Athletic Bilbao 33%
- Draw 31%
- Villarreal CF 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Villarreal CF, rating it at 36.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Villarreal CF's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Villarreal CF: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–3 |
| 2023-05-13 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 5–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.