Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF36%
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Villarreal CF
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Athletic Bilbao or draw64%
- Draw or Villarreal CF67%
- Athletic Bilbao or Villarreal CF69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Villarreal CF, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Villarreal CF, rating it at 36.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Villarreal CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Villarreal CF: WLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 88 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–3 |
| 2023-05-13 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 5–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-23 | Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.