Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Villarreal CF to win52%

1X2: model backs Villarreal CF at 52%.

Tofiko52% / 29% / 19%
  • Villarreal CF
  • Draw
  • Athletic Bilbao

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Villarreal CF or draw81%
  • Draw or Athletic Bilbao48%
  • Villarreal CF or Athletic Bilbao71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Villarreal CF, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 51.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Villarreal CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 179 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Villarreal CF: WLWWL

Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 179 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF1–2
2025-09-27Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao1–0
2025-04-06Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2024-12-08Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal CF2–0
2024-04-14Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal1–1
2023-11-05Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao2–3
2023-05-13Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao5–1
2022-10-30Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal1–0
2022-04-09Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao1–1
2021-10-23Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAthletic Club vs Villarreal10 Jan 2027 →