Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid69%

Tofiko69% / 21% / 10%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 68.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

Deportivo Alaves: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-18Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves1–0
2025-08-30Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid1–1
2025-05-03Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid0–0
2024-11-23Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves2–1
2024-04-21Alaves vs Atletico Madrid2–0
2023-10-29Atletico Madrid vs Alaves2–1
2022-04-02Atletico Madrid vs Alaves4–1
2021-09-25Alaves vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2021-03-21Atletico Madrid vs Alaves1–0
2021-01-03Alaves vs Atletico Madrid1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlaves vs Atletico Madrid10 Oct 2026 →