Atletico Madridvs
Deportivo AlavesAtletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atletico Madrid to win69%
1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 69%.
- Atletico Madrid
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Atletico Madrid or draw90%
- Draw or Deportivo Alaves31%
- Atletico Madrid or Deportivo Alaves79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 68.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atletico Madrid: WWWWW
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-21 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 2–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 4–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Alaves vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2021-03-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Alaves | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 02 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.