Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 23 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid57%

Tofiko57% / 28% / 15%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Athletic Bilbao

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 56.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 6 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 243 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 243 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid3–0
2026-04-25Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao3–2
2025-12-06Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2025-03-01Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao1–0
2024-08-31Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2024-04-27Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao3–1
2023-12-16Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid2–0
2023-02-19Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao1–0
2022-10-15Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2022-04-30Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 23 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAthletic Club 3-0 Atletico Madrid5 Sept 2026 →