Atletico Madridvs
Girona FCAtletico Madrid vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 17 May 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid65%
- Atletico Madrid 65%
- Draw 23%
- Girona FC 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 64.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Atletico Madrid won 7 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Girona FC: LDLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Atletico Madrid vs Girona FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2025-05-25 | Girona FC vs Atletico Madrid | 0–4 |
| 2024-08-25 | Atletico Madrid vs Girona FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Girona | 3–1 |
| 2024-01-03 | Girona vs Atletico Madrid | 4–3 |
| 2023-03-13 | Girona vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Girona | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Girona FC kick off?
- Sun, 17 May 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.