Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsRCD Mallorca crestRCD Mallorca

Atletico Madrid 3-0 RCD Mallorca — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 25 Jan 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid68%

  • Atletico Madrid 68%
  • Draw 21%
  • RCD Mallorca 11%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 68.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 6 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 20.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Atletico Madrid: WDWWL

RCD Mallorca: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 1.90Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25Atletico Madrid vs RCD Mallorca3–0
2025-09-21RCD Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid1–1
2025-02-01Atletico Madrid vs RCD Mallorca2–0
2024-11-10RCD Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2024-05-04Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2023-11-25Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca1–0
2023-04-26Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca3–1
2022-11-09Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2022-04-09Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2021-12-04Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs RCD Mallorca?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs RCD Mallorca kick off?
Sun, 25 Jan 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs RCD Mallorca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.

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