Atletico Madridvs
Rayo VallecanoAtletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid63%
Tofiko63% / 24% / 13%
- Atletico Madrid
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 62.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 235 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atletico Madrid: WWWLL
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 235 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–7 |
| 2023-04-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.