Rayo Vallecanovs
Atletico MadridRayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 03 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid47%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw53%
- Draw or Atletico Madrid76%
- Rayo Vallecano or Atletico Madrid71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.542%
- Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atletico Madrid, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Atletico Madrid: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–7 |
| 2023-04-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 03 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.