Rayo Vallecanovs
Atletico MadridRayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid47%
- Rayo Vallecano 24%
- Draw 29%
- Atletico Madrid 47%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atletico Madrid, rating it at 46.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–7 |
| 2023-04-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.