Rayo Vallecanovs
Atletico MadridRayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid47%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atletico Madrid, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Atletico Madrid: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-31 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–7 |
| 2023-04-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-02 | Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.