Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid58%

Tofiko58% / 27% / 14%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Real Sociedad

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 58.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atletico Madrid: WWWLL

Real Sociedad: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 117 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid0–3
2026-04-17Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad2–2
2026-03-07Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad3–2
2026-01-04Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid1–1
2025-05-10Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad4–0
2024-10-06Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid1–1
2024-05-25Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2023-10-08Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad2–1
2023-05-28Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad2–1
2022-09-03Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legReal Sociedad 0-3 Atletico Madrid13 Sept 2026 →