Real Sociedadvs
Atletico MadridReal Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid43%
- Real Sociedad 26%
- Draw 31%
- Atletico Madrid 43%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 43.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 3–2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 4–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.