Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsSevilla FC crestSevilla FC

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atletico Madrid to win63%

1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 63%.

Tofiko63% / 25% / 12%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Sevilla FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atletico Madrid or draw88%
  • Draw or Sevilla FC37%
  • Atletico Madrid or Sevilla FC75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Sevilla FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 62.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atletico Madrid: WWWWW

Sevilla FC: DLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 186 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-29Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid1–3
2026-04-11Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid2–1
2025-11-01Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC3–0
2025-04-06Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2024-12-08Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC4–3
2024-02-11Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2023-12-23Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla1–0
2023-03-04Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla6–1
2022-10-01Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2022-05-15Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC kick off?
Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSevilla 1-3 Atletico Madrid29 Aug 2026 →