Atletico Madridvs
Sevilla FCAtletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid63%
- Atletico Madrid 63%
- Draw 25%
- Sevilla FC 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 62.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atletico Madrid: WDWWL
Sevilla FC: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC | 4–3 |
| 2024-02-11 | Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 6–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.