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Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 29 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid49%

Sevilla FC 22%
Draw 29%
Atletico Madrid 49%
  • Sevilla FC 22%
  • Draw 29%
  • Atletico Madrid 49%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Atletico Madrid's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sevilla FC: WWWDL

Atletico Madrid: LWLWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid2–1
2025-11-01Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC3–0
2025-04-06Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2024-12-08Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC4–3
2024-02-11Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2023-12-23Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla1–0
2023-03-04Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla6–1
2022-10-01Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2022-05-15Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla1–1
2021-12-18Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

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