Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 29 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid49%
- Sevilla FC 22%
- Draw 29%
- Atletico Madrid 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Atletico Madrid's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sevilla FC: WWWDL
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla FC | 4–3 |
| 2024-02-11 | Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 6–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Sevilla FC vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.