Atletico Madrid crestAtletico MadridvsValencia CF crestValencia CF

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atletico Madrid to win64%

1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 64%.

Tofiko64% / 23% / 13%
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Draw
  • Valencia CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atletico Madrid or draw87%
  • Draw or Valencia CF36%
  • Atletico Madrid or Valencia CF77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.552%
  • Under 2.548%

Both teams to score

  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Valencia CF, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 63.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atletico Madrid: WWWWL

Valencia CF: DLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2025-12-13Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF2–1
2025-02-22Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–3
2024-09-15Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–0
2024-01-28Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF2–0
2023-09-16Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid3–0
2023-03-18Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–0
2022-08-29Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2022-01-22Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–2
2021-11-07Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid3–3

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FAQ

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureValencia vs Atletico Madrid9 May 2027 →