Atletico Madridvs
Valencia CFAtletico Madrid vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid64%
- Atletico Madrid 64%
- Draw 23%
- Valencia CF 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Valencia CF: DWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-07 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.