Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atletico Madrid to win64%
1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 64%.
- Atletico Madrid
- Draw
- Valencia CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Atletico Madrid or draw87%
- Draw or Valencia CF36%
- Atletico Madrid or Valencia CF77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Valencia CF, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 63.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atletico Madrid: WWWWL
Valencia CF: DLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-07 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.