Valencia CF crestValencia CFvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid47%

Tofiko25% / 28% / 47%
  • Valencia CF
  • Draw
  • Atletico Madrid

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Valencia CF or draw53%
  • Draw or Atletico Madrid75%
  • Valencia CF or Atletico Madrid72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • Valencia CF, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atletico Madrid, rating it at 47.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Valencia CF: DLWLL

Atletico Madrid: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2025-12-13Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF2–1
2025-02-22Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–3
2024-09-15Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–0
2024-01-28Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF2–0
2023-09-16Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid3–0
2023-03-18Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–0
2022-08-29Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2022-01-22Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF3–2
2021-11-07Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid3–3

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FAQ

Who will win Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAtletico Madrid vs Valencia13 Dec 2026 →