Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid47%
- Valencia CF
- Draw
- Atletico Madrid
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Valencia CF or draw53%
- Draw or Atletico Madrid75%
- Valencia CF or Atletico Madrid72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Valencia CF, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atletico Madrid, rating it at 47.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Valencia CF won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Valencia CF: DLWLL
Atletico Madrid: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | Atletico Madrid vs Valencia CF | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-07 | Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Valencia CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.