Real Madrid CFvs
Sevilla FCReal Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF70%
- Real Madrid CF 70%
- Draw 21%
- Sevilla FC 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 70.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Real Madrid CF's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Sevilla FC: WWDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-22 | Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC | 4–2 |
| 2024-02-25 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-17 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 2–3 |
| 2021-11-28 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.