Real Madrid CFvs
Sevilla FCReal Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win68%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 68%.
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Sevilla FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Madrid CF or draw88%
- Draw or Sevilla FC32%
- Real Madrid CF or Sevilla FC80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Sevilla FC, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 68.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Sevilla FC: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CF | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CF | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-22 | Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC | 4–2 |
| 2024-02-25 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-17 | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 2–3 |
| 2021-11-28 | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Sevilla FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.