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RC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de VigovsReal Oviedo crestReal Oviedo

RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 12 Apr 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: RC Celta de Vigo 03 Real Oviedo

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RC Celta de Vigo63%

RC Celta de Vigo 63%
Draw 22%
Real Oviedo 15%
  • RC Celta de Vigo 63%
  • Draw 22%
  • Real Oviedo 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RC Celta de Vigo, rating it at 63.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and RC Celta de Vigo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RC Celta de Vigo: WWDWD

Real Oviedo: LWDDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo0–3
2025-12-20Real Oviedo vs RC Celta de Vigo0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo?
Tofiko's model favours RC Celta de Vigo (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo kick off?
Sun, 12 Apr 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Oviedo head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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