Elche CF crestElche CFvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao40%

Tofiko29% / 32% / 40%
  • Elche CF
  • Draw
  • Athletic Bilbao

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Elche CF or draw60%
  • Draw or Athletic Bilbao71%
  • Elche CF or Athletic Bilbao68%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Elche CF, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Elche CF won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Elche CF's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 214 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Elche CF: DWLDL

Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 214 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 1.89Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF1–1
2026-02-20Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF2–1
2025-10-19Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2023-05-28Athletic Bilbao vs Elche0–1
2022-09-11Elche vs Athletic Bilbao1–4
2022-04-03Athletic Bilbao vs Elche2–1
2021-08-16Elche vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2021-05-22Elche vs Athletic Bilbao2–0
2021-01-03Athletic Bilbao vs Elche1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.89 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAthletic Club 1-1 Elche12 Sept 2026 →