Athletic Bilbaovs
Elche CFAthletic Bilbao 1-1 Elche CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao59%
- Athletic Bilbao 59%
- Draw 23%
- Elche CF 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 58.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Athletic Bilbao: DWWLL
Elche CF: DLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 1.89Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF | 1–1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–4 |
| 2022-04-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-16 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.89 goals per game.