Athletic Bilbaovs
Elche CFAthletic Bilbao vs Elche CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao57%
- Athletic Bilbao 57%
- Draw 28%
- Elche CF 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 56.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Elche CF's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Elche CF: WDDDW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.88Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–4 |
| 2022-04-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-16 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.