Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Elche CF — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao59%
- Athletic Bilbao
- Draw
- Elche CF
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 58.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Elche CF's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Elche CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026.
Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL
Elche CF: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 1.89Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF | 1–1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–4 |
| 2022-04-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-16 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-22 | Elche vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-03 | Athletic Bilbao vs Elche | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.89 goals per game.