Athletic Bilbao crestAthletic BilbaovsElche CF crestElche CF

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Elche CF — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Athletic Bilbao59%

Tofiko59% / 23% / 18%
Market71% / 18% / 11%
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Draw
  • Elche CF

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 58.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Athletic Bilbao won 4 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Elche CF's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Elche CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Athletic Bilbao: DDWWL

Elche CF: WLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 1.89Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF1–1
2026-02-20Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF2–1
2025-10-19Elche CF vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2023-05-28Athletic Bilbao vs Elche0–1
2022-09-11Elche vs Athletic Bilbao1–4
2022-04-03Athletic Bilbao vs Elche2–1
2021-08-16Elche vs Athletic Bilbao0–0
2021-05-22Elche vs Athletic Bilbao2–0
2021-01-03Athletic Bilbao vs Elche1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF?
Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Athletic Bilbao vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.89 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureElche vs Athletic Club16 May 2027 →