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Elche CF crestElche CFvsFC Barcelona crestFC Barcelona

Elche CF vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 23 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona70%

Elche CF 11%
Draw 19%
FC Barcelona 70%
  • Elche CF 11%
  • Draw 19%
  • FC Barcelona 70%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 70.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Elche CF won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Elche CF: DDDWD

FC Barcelona: DWLWL

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 88%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-31Elche CF vs FC Barcelona1–3
2025-11-02FC Barcelona vs Elche CF3–1
2023-04-01Elche vs Barcelona0–4
2022-09-17Barcelona vs Elche3–0
2022-03-06Elche vs Barcelona1–2
2021-12-18Barcelona vs Elche3–2
2021-02-24Barcelona vs Elche3–0
2021-01-24Elche vs Barcelona0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Elche CF vs FC Barcelona?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Elche CF vs FC Barcelona kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Elche CF vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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