Girona FCvs
Athletic BilbaoGirona FC vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 14 Mar 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Girona FC 3–0 Athletic Bilbao
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Girona FC41%
- Girona FC 41%
- Draw 24%
- Athletic Bilbao 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Girona FC, rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Girona FC: LDLWD
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Girona FC vs Athletic Bilbao | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Athletic Bilbao vs Girona FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Athletic Bilbao vs Girona FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Girona FC vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-19 | Athletic Bilbao vs Girona | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-27 | Girona vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Athletic Bilbao vs Girona | 2–3 |
| 2022-11-04 | Girona vs Athletic Bilbao | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Girona FC vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Girona FC vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Girona FC vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.