Girona FCvs
FC BarcelonaGirona FC vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaMon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Girona FC 2–1 FC Barcelona
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona59%
- Girona FC 21%
- Draw 21%
- FC Barcelona 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Girona FC: LDLWD
FC Barcelona: DWLWL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Girona FC vs FC Barcelona | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Barcelona vs Girona FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Barcelona vs Girona FC | 4–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Girona FC vs FC Barcelona | 1–4 |
| 2024-05-04 | Girona vs Barcelona | 4–2 |
| 2023-12-10 | Barcelona vs Girona | 2–4 |
| 2023-04-10 | Barcelona vs Girona | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-28 | Girona vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Girona FC vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Girona FC vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Mon, 16 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Girona FC vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.