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Girona FC crestGirona FCvsRC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de Vigo

Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 01 Mar 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Girona FC 12 RC Celta de Vigo

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Girona FC48%

Girona FC 48%
Draw 22%
RC Celta de Vigo 30%
  • Girona FC 48%
  • Draw 22%
  • RC Celta de Vigo 30%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Girona FC, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Girona FC: LDLWD

RC Celta de Vigo: WWDWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo1–2
2025-09-14RC Celta de Vigo vs Girona FC1–1
2025-03-01Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo2–2
2024-09-29RC Celta de Vigo vs Girona FC1–1
2024-01-28Celta Vigo vs Girona0–1
2023-10-27Girona vs Celta Vigo1–0
2023-05-23Celta Vigo vs Girona1–1
2022-08-26Girona vs Celta Vigo0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 20:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Girona FC vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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