Girona FCvs
Elche CFGirona FC vs Elche CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 23 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Girona FC 1–1 Elche CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Girona FC58%
- Girona FC 58%
- Draw 25%
- Elche CF 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Girona FC, rating it at 57.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Girona FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Girona FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Girona FC: DLDLW
Elche CF: DDDWD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Girona FC vs Elche CF | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Elche CF vs Girona FC | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-16 | Girona vs Elche | 2–0 |
| 2022-11-08 | Elche vs Girona | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Girona FC vs Elche CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Girona FC vs Elche CF kick off?
- Sat, 23 May 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Girona FC vs Elche CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.