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Girona FC crestGirona FCvsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Girona FC vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaThu, 14 May 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Girona FC 11 Real Sociedad

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Girona FC40%

Girona FC 40%
Draw 30%
Real Sociedad 29%
  • Girona FC 40%
  • Draw 30%
  • Real Sociedad 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Girona FC, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Girona FC: LDLWD

Real Sociedad: LWWDL

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 3.13Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-14Girona FC vs Real Sociedad1–1
2025-12-12Real Sociedad vs Girona FC1–2
2025-05-18Real Sociedad vs Girona FC3–2
2024-10-19Girona FC vs Real Sociedad0–1
2024-02-03Girona vs Real Sociedad0–0
2023-08-12Real Sociedad vs Girona1–1
2023-05-13Real Sociedad vs Girona2–2
2022-10-02Girona vs Real Sociedad3–5

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Girona FC vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Girona FC vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Thu, 14 May 2026 18:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Girona FC vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.

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