Girona FC vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaMon, 06 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Girona FC 1–0 Villarreal CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF43%
- Girona FC 35%
- Draw 22%
- Villarreal CF 43%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Girona FC: LDLWD
Villarreal CF: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Girona FC vs Villarreal CF | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Villarreal CF vs Girona FC | 5–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Girona FC vs Villarreal CF | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Villarreal CF vs Girona FC | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-14 | Girona vs Villarreal | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Villarreal vs Girona | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-20 | Girona vs Villarreal | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-22 | Villarreal vs Girona | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Girona FC vs Villarreal CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Girona FC vs Villarreal CF kick off?
- Mon, 06 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Girona FC vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.