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Girona FC crestGirona FCvsVillarreal CF crestVillarreal CF

Girona FC vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaMon, 06 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Girona FC 10 Villarreal CF

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Villarreal CF43%

Girona FC 35%
Draw 22%
Villarreal CF 43%
  • Girona FC 35%
  • Draw 22%
  • Villarreal CF 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Girona FC won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Girona FC: LDLWD

Villarreal CF: LDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.38Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06Girona FC vs Villarreal CF1–0
2025-08-24Villarreal CF vs Girona FC5–0
2025-05-10Girona FC vs Villarreal CF0–1
2024-12-01Villarreal CF vs Girona FC2–2
2024-05-14Girona vs Villarreal0–1
2023-09-27Villarreal vs Girona1–2
2023-05-20Girona vs Villarreal1–2
2023-01-22Villarreal vs Girona1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Girona FC vs Villarreal CF?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Girona FC vs Villarreal CF kick off?
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Girona FC vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.

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