Levante UDvs
Athletic BilbaoLevante UD vs Athletic Bilbao — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaWed, 16 Sep 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: void
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Athletic Bilbao40%
- Levante UD
- Draw
- Athletic Bilbao
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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AI match brief
🤖 AIThe model still leans marginally toward an away victory at 39.4% against the market's 44.4%, reflecting competitive balance and genuine uncertainty about the outcome.
The rest of the brief — key angles, context and exact-score probabilities — is Pro. Read the full brief with Pro →
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Levante UD or draw60%
- Draw or Athletic Bilbao64%
- Levante UD or Athletic Bilbao76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Levante UD, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Athletic Bilbao, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 58% · No 42%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Athletic Bilbao, rating it at 40.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Levante UD won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Levante UD's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Athletic Bilbao's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Levante UD's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Levante UD: DLLDW
Athletic Bilbao: DWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Athletic Bilbao vs Levante UD | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–2 |
| 2022-03-07 | Athletic Bilbao vs Levante | 3–1 |
| 2021-11-19 | Levante vs Athletic Bilbao | 0–0 |
| 2021-02-26 | Levante vs Athletic Bilbao | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-18 | Athletic Bilbao vs Levante | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Athletic Bilbao (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Levante UD vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.