Levante UDvs
Rayo VallecanoLevante UD vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Levante UD37%
- Levante UD
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Levante UD or draw69%
- Draw or Rayo Vallecano63%
- Levante UD or Rayo Vallecano69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Levante UD, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Levante UD, rating it at 37.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Levante UD won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Levante UD's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Levante UD's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 172 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Levante UD: DLLDW
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 172 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Levante UD vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–3 |
| 2022-05-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Levante | 2–4 |
| 2021-09-11 | Levante vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Levante UD vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Levante UD (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Levante UD vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Levante UD vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.