Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rayo Vallecano or draw79%
1X2: model backs Rayo Vallecano at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Levante UD
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw79%
- Draw or Levante UD51%
- Rayo Vallecano or Levante UD70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Levante UD, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 48.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Levante UD's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Levante UD's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Levante UD: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Levante UD vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–3 |
| 2022-05-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Levante | 2–4 |
| 2021-09-11 | Levante vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Levante UD head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.