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RCD Mallorca crestRCD MallorcavsRCD Espanyol crestRCD Espanyol

RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 15 Mar 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: RCD Mallorca 21 RCD Espanyol

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RCD Mallorca43%

RCD Mallorca 43%
Draw 26%
RCD Espanyol 31%
  • RCD Mallorca 43%
  • Draw 26%
  • RCD Espanyol 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RCD Mallorca, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and RCD Mallorca won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RCD Mallorca: WWWLL

RCD Espanyol: DDDWW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.63Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-15RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol2–1
2025-09-15RCD Espanyol vs RCD Mallorca3–2
2025-03-15RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol2–1
2024-10-05RCD Espanyol vs RCD Mallorca2–1
2023-02-25Espanyol vs Mallorca2–1
2022-10-28Mallorca vs Espanyol1–1
2022-03-20Espanyol vs Mallorca1–0
2021-08-27Mallorca vs Espanyol1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol?
Tofiko's model favours RCD Mallorca (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol kick off?
Sun, 15 Mar 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the RCD Mallorca vs RCD Espanyol head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.

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