RCD Mallorcavs
Real Madrid CFRCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSat, 04 Apr 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: RCD Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF64%
- RCD Mallorca 14%
- Draw 22%
- Real Madrid CF 64%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RCD Mallorca won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RCD Mallorca: WWWLL
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Real Madrid CF vs RCD Mallorca | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-14 | Real Madrid CF vs RCD Mallorca | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-18 | RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2024-01-03 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-11 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 4–1 |
| 2022-03-14 | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-22 | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 6–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sat, 04 Apr 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.