CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaWed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

CA Osasuna or draw77%

1X2: model backs CA Osasuna at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko44% / 33% / 23%
  • CA Osasuna
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • CA Osasuna or draw77%
  • Draw or Deportivo Alaves56%
  • CA Osasuna or Deportivo Alaves67%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • CA Osasuna, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick CA Osasuna, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and CA Osasuna won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. CA Osasuna's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 190 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 190 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna5–2
2026-04-05Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna2–2
2025-12-20CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves3–0
2025-05-24Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna1–1
2024-12-08CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves2–2
2024-03-04Osasuna vs Alaves1–0
2023-10-01Alaves vs Osasuna0–2
2022-04-10Osasuna vs Alaves1–0
2021-09-18Alaves vs Osasuna0–2
2021-02-27Alaves vs Osasuna0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours CA Osasuna (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Wed, 21 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAlaves 5-2 Osasuna6 Sept 2026 →