Deportivo Alavesvs
CA OsasunaDeportivo Alaves 5-2 CA Osasuna — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 06 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Deportivo Alaves41%
Tofiko41% / 27% / 32%
Market43% / 30% / 26%
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- CA Osasuna
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 40.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CA Osasuna's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
CA Osasuna: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-20 | CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-08 | CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-04 | Osasuna vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Alaves vs Osasuna | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Osasuna vs Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2021-09-18 | Alaves vs Osasuna | 0–2 |
| 2021-02-27 | Alaves vs Osasuna | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna?
- Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.