Deportivo Alaves crestDeportivo AlavesvsCA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna

Deportivo Alaves 5-2 CA Osasuna — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 06 Sep 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Deportivo Alaves41%

  • Deportivo Alaves 41%
  • Draw 27%
  • CA Osasuna 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Deportivo Alaves, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Deportivo Alaves: LWWDW

CA Osasuna: LLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna5–2
2026-04-05Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna2–2
2025-12-20CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves3–0
2025-05-24Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna1–1
2024-12-08CA Osasuna vs Deportivo Alaves2–2
2024-03-04Osasuna vs Alaves1–0
2023-10-01Alaves vs Osasuna0–2
2022-04-10Osasuna vs Alaves1–0
2021-09-18Alaves vs Osasuna0–2
2021-02-27Alaves vs Osasuna0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna?
Tofiko's model favours Deportivo Alaves (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureOsasuna vs Alaves21 Apr 2027 →