CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 14 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atletico Madrid to win53%

1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 53%.

Tofiko19% / 28% / 53%
  • CA Osasuna
  • Draw
  • Atletico Madrid

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • CA Osasuna or draw47%
  • Draw or Atletico Madrid81%
  • CA Osasuna or Atletico Madrid72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • CA Osasuna, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 52.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and CA Osasuna won 1 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 124 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Atletico Madrid: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 124 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-16Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna4–0
2026-05-12CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid1–2
2025-10-18Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna1–0
2025-05-15CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid2–0
2025-01-12Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna1–0
2024-05-19Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna1–4
2023-09-28Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2023-05-21Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna3–0
2023-01-29Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2022-02-19Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sun, 14 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAtletico Madrid 4-0 Osasuna16 Sept 2026 →