Atletico Madridvs
CA OsasunaAtletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaWed, 16 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid66%
- Atletico Madrid 66%
- Draw 23%
- CA Osasuna 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 66.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atletico Madrid won 8 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
CA Osasuna: LWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-15 | CA Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna | 1–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | 1–4 |
| 2023-09-28 | Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2023-05-21 | Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | 3–0 |
| 2023-01-29 | Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid | 0–3 |
| 2021-11-20 | Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna kick off?
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Atletico Madrid vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.