?
CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsGirona FC crestGirona FC

CA Osasuna vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 21 Mar 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: CA Osasuna 10 Girona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CA Osasuna42%

CA Osasuna 42%
Draw 24%
Girona FC 34%
  • CA Osasuna 42%
  • Draw 24%
  • Girona FC 34%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks CA Osasuna, rating it at 42.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and CA Osasuna won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

CA Osasuna: WWWLL

Girona FC: LDLWD

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21CA Osasuna vs Girona FC1–0
2026-01-10Girona FC vs CA Osasuna1–0
2025-04-13CA Osasuna vs Girona FC2–1
2024-08-29Girona FC vs CA Osasuna4–0
2024-03-09Girona vs Osasuna2–0
2023-11-04Osasuna vs Girona2–4
2023-06-04Osasuna vs Girona2–1
2022-10-23Girona vs Osasuna1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Girona FC?
Tofiko's model favours CA Osasuna (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Girona FC kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 17:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Girona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.