CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsReal Oviedo crestReal Oviedo

CA Osasuna 3-2 Real Oviedo — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CA Osasuna59%

  • CA Osasuna 59%
  • Draw 25%
  • Real Oviedo 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CA Osasuna, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and CA Osasuna won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

CA Osasuna: WWWDL

Real Oviedo: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17CA Osasuna vs Real Oviedo3–2
2025-11-03Real Oviedo vs CA Osasuna0–0

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FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Real Oviedo?
Tofiko's model favours CA Osasuna (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Real Oviedo kick off?
Sat, 17 Jan 2026 17:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Real Oviedo head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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