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Real Oviedo crestReal OviedovsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 17 May 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Real Oviedo 01 Deportivo Alaves

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Draw37%

Real Oviedo 30%
Draw 37%
Deportivo Alaves 33%
  • Real Oviedo 30%
  • Draw 37%
  • Deportivo Alaves 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 37.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Real Oviedo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Oviedo: LWDDL

Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alaves0–1
2026-01-04Deportivo Alaves vs Real Oviedo1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Draw (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sun, 17 May 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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